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William Kristol Predicts Palin will run in 2012

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By Ben Cohen

The man who told us that the Iraq war would be a roaring success, George Bush would go down as a great President, and that Barack Obama could never become President, is now backing the notion that Sarah Palin is indeed quitting her post as Governor of Alaska in order to prepare a bid for the Presidency in 2012. Said William Kristol in arecent post:

If Palin wants to run in 2012, why not do exactly what she announced today? It's an enormous gamble - but it could be a shrewd one.

After all, she's freeing herself from the duties of the governorship. Now she can do her book, give speeches, travel the country and the world, campaign for others, meet people, get more educated on the issues - and without being criticized for neglecting her duties in Alaska. I suppose she'll take a hit for leaving the governorship early - but how much of one? She's probably accomplished most of what she was going to get done as governor, and is leaving a sympatico lieutenant governor in charge.

Ever the betting man, Kristol is aware of the odds, but is willing to put his name on the line to risk another daring prediction in the face of ridicule. He writes:

All in all, it's going to be a high-wire act. The odds are against her pulling it off. But I wouldn't bet against it.

A note to anyone not affected by the economic crisis: Take all your money out of your bank, go to the nearest betting shop, and put ALL your money down on Palin NOT running in 2012.